Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.977845 21.667938 24.725544 28.483813 33.014086 38.343742 45.155204
2025-08-24 15.290389 18.608310 22.713168 28.251831 35.667066 45.457577 59.723398
2025-08-31 12.985628 16.453133 20.983054 27.486141 36.846673 50.276091 71.887711
2025-09-07 11.507744 15.050180 19.883053 27.181267 38.345114 55.558584 85.862112
2025-09-14 10.082843 13.499360 18.313798 25.869815 37.988666 57.783822 95.325103
2025-09-21 8.916713 12.166234 16.867590 24.484911 37.198932 59.022785 103.235678
2025-09-28 8.115517 11.271462 15.952478 23.771656 37.338783 61.803568 114.825217
2025-10-05 8.312152 11.865865 17.345343 26.951675 44.700213 79.440001 164.048171
2025-10-12 8.026111 11.682783 17.479706 28.006957 48.389059 90.876081 204.512419
2025-10-19 7.416905 10.932262 16.606327 27.151480 48.215686 94.049804 225.004696
2025-10-26 7.190408 10.776952 16.707152 28.079217 51.792534 106.599225 278.969544
2025-11-02 6.780564 10.284608 16.179547 27.744300 52.635914 112.841871 316.940652
2025-11-09 6.371075 9.780325 15.617174 27.337631 53.406418 119.560657 362.948196
2025-11-16 6.027767 9.364603 15.178445 27.130377 54.622723 127.976795 422.841116
2025-11-23 5.648513 8.858019 14.527671 26.402855 54.467113 132.487290 470.555283
2025-11-30 5.362121 8.494071 14.109736 26.113431 55.338804 140.416936 542.593901
2025-12-07 4.982638 7.940296 13.290702 24.867700 53.567094 139.514019 568.820404
2025-12-14 4.625417 7.406907 12.475065 23.551184 51.419354 136.865779 584.126142
2025-12-21 4.370793 7.045620 11.967698 22.872728 50.879117 139.624625 636.353855
2025-12-28 4.541505 7.472162 13.032948 25.895410 61.173781 185.790077 1068.199892
2026-01-04 4.480714 7.461744 13.222181 26.897274 65.955981 213.846311 1446.588100
2026-01-11 4.249444 7.113524 12.691764 26.085146 65.029084 217.165646 1586.941429
2026-01-18 4.189091 7.089921 12.834849 26.965856 69.670834 248.389133 2172.605661